Culture | Wanna bet?

A famous forecaster takes on the establishment

Nate Silver offers praise for contrarians and scorn for intellectual sheep

Hillary Clinton’s supporters show their sorrow as the results on a big screen indicate Donald Trump’s victory in the 2016 Presidential Elections.
Photograph: Getty Images

NATE SILVER is among America’s most famous forecasters. He won plaudits in 2012, after his statistical forecast called all 50 states correctly in America’s presidential election. But four years later he was pilloried after Hillary Clinton, whom his model considered the favourite, lost to Donald Trump.

This article appeared in the Culture section of the print edition under the headline “Wanna bet?”

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