Britain | The cost-of-living crisis

Britain’s economy is taking a drubbing

Rising energy bills will be the principal source of pain

STOKE-ON-TRENT, UNITED KINGDOM - AUGUST 05: A wind torn Union flag flies over Longton Town Hall on August 05, 2022 in Stoke-on-Trent United Kingdom. The city of Stoke-on-Trent was one of the fastest local economies to rebound from the last recession and the predicted latest recession will be a worry for many businesses and local families. Stoke is also seen by many as a litmus test for levelling up with the city councils prospectus called 'Powering Up Stoke-on-Trent'. The Bank of England raised interest rates by 0.5% yesterday to 1.75% and forecast that the UK was heading for a recession. The economy is forecast to shrink in the last three months of this year and keep shrinking until the end of 2023. (Photo by Christopher Furlong/Getty Images)

Britain’s economy needs to become a lot more productive. But first it has to get through the winter. The big problem is the spiralling cost of living. Last week the Bank of England predicted that annual inflation would rise to just over 13% this October. At least of half of this increase will be driven by steep rises in energy prices, owing mainly to the war in Ukraine. Estimates from Cornwall Insight, a consultancy, suggest that households’ average annual energy bills could grow from £1,971 ($2,380) now, already a hefty increase on the prior year, to an eye-watering £4,427 in April.

This article appeared in the Britain section of the print edition under the headline “Electric shock”

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