The message from our model for Virginia’s gubernatorial race
Bad news for Democrats
THE RESULT of Virginia’s race for governor on November 2nd will “set the tone” for next year’s mid-term elections. So said Terry McAuliffe, the former Democratic governor of the state, as he launched a get-out-the-vote campaign last Friday. If so, the party is in trouble. President Joe Biden won the state by ten percentage points last year, but Mr McAuliffe is now polling just two points ahead of his Republican opponent, Glenn Youngkin, according to a statistical model built by The Economist. That gap is small enough for Mr Youngkin to close at the last minute.
This article appeared in the United States section of the print edition under the headline “Down to the wire”
United States October 30th 2021
- The Democrats’ disadvantage
- The message from our model for Virginia’s gubernatorial race
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