Middle East & Africa | One country, two kinds of family

Why the fertility gap between north and south Nigeria matters

It has enormous implications for development

Newborn babies sleep in cots at Lagos Island Maternity in Central Lagos
Photograph: Getty Images
|Lagos and Maiduguri

To fly from the south to the north of Nigeria takes only a couple of hours. Yet in one way, it is like going back in time. In Lagos state, the commercial capital in the south, women can expect to give birth to an average of 3.3 children during their lifetimes, which is what the world’s fertility rate was in 1990. In Katsina state in the north, the fertility rate is, at 7.4, higher than the global rate was in 1800.

Explore more

This article appeared in the Middle East & Africa section of the print edition under the headline “One country, two kinds of family”

From the November 9th 2024 edition

Discover stories from this section and more in the list of contents

Explore the edition

Discover more

A man inspects the damage at the site of an overnight Israeli airstrike that targeted the Shayyah neighborhood in Beirut's southern suburbs on November 26, 2024

Israel and Hizbullah strike a fragile deal to end their war 

Joe Biden’s last roll of the dice on peace in the Middle East

Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and Defence Minister Yoav Gallant hold a press conference in Tel Aviv

The arrest warrant is a diplomatic disaster for Netanyahu

But may also undermine the International Criminal Court


Food distributed to displaced Palestinians in Gaza

Israel’s hardliners reckon Gaza’s chaos shows they must control it

Only 11 out of a recent convoy of 109 aid trucks managed to get in


Why GM crops aren’t feeding Africa

Despite decades of research, few countries grow them there

A genocidal militia’s quest for legitimacy

A warring party in Sudan claims it wants to talk peace

Get ready for “Maximum Pressure 2.0” on Iran 

The Trump White House may bomb and penalise the regime into a deal