Leaders | Beware bear traps

A fresh American bull market is under way. Can it last?

Investors have been cheered by rosy economic news

2JCMC10 Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S. June 14, 2022. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

How sweet it is to forget. Just months ago financial markets were being pummelled by war, inflation and the prospect of rapidly rising interest rates. January to June this year were the worst first half for American shares in more than five decades. The s&p 500, America’s leading index of stocks, slumped by 21%; the tech-heavy nasdaq shed 32%. Yet since the middle of June the market has staged a remarkable comeback. The nasdaq has climbed by more than 20% from its low, officially entering a bull market; the s&p 500, up by 17%, is verging on bull territory of its own. Apple is now just 7% shy of being valued at $3trn, as it was, briefly, on January 3rd. Can the turnaround continue?

This article appeared in the Leaders section of the print edition under the headline “Beware bear traps”

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