Finance & economics | A surplus of anomalies

Is China understating its own export success?

The $230bn puzzle at the heart of the country’s trade figures

Cars are loaded onto a ship for export at a port in China.
Photograph: Getty Images
|Hong Kong

China’s current-account surplus was once one of the most controversial statistics in economics. The figure, which peaked at almost 10% of gdp in 2007, measures the gap between China’s earning and its spending, driven largely by its trade surplus and the income it receives from its foreign assets. For much of the past two decades, China’s surpluses have left it open to the charge of mercantilism—of stealing jobs by unfairly boosting its exports. Some trading partners now worry about a similar shock if the country’s output of electric vehicles grows too quickly.

Explore more

This article appeared in the Finance & economics section of the print edition under the headline “Trade blows”

From the December 16th 2023 edition

Discover stories from this section and more in the list of contents

Explore the edition

More from Finance & economics

A bubble wand blows bubbles containing icons of a house, car, and ".com."

Would an artificial-intelligence bubble be so bad?

A new book by Byrne Hobart and Tobias Huber argues there are advantages to financial mania

Silhouettes of Donald Trump, Elon Musk, Scott Bessent, and Stephen Miller scaling down in decending order, alternating red and black.

Will Elon Musk dominate President Trump’s economic policy?

He will face challenges from both America firsters and conservative mainstreamers


President-elect Donald Trump, with Lynn Martin, President NYSE, right, is greeted by trader Peter Giacchi, as he walks the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, USA.

What investors expect from President Trump

Shareholders are over the moon; bondholders are readying the whip hand


China’s firms are taking flight, worrying its rulers

Policymakers at home and abroad are anxious about offshoring

Manmohan Singh was India’s economic freedom fighter

India’s most consequential finance minister, who later became PM, has died aged 92

Why fine wine and fancy art have slumped this year

Investing in luxury goods was a bad move in 2024



Discover more

A collage illustration showing a cutout of XI Jinping's facing Donald Trump's face on the right with a small cutout image of Claudia Sheinbaum between them. Behind them are some shipping containers and the The San Lázaro Legislative Palace of Mexico along

Does made in Mexico mean made by China?

Donald Trump believes Mexico is a trojan horse for Chinese mercantilism


Illustration of 2 spheres of binary numbers, sat on 2 sides of a see saw, the larger one has an eagle's head and the smaller has a dragon's, but there is money being placed on the dragon ball.

China is catching up with America in quantum technology

But its state-heavy innovation model comes with risks


Xi Jinping has much to worry about in 2025

A struggling economy, rising social tensions and Donald Trump will test China’s leader

China’s firms are taking flight, worrying its rulers

Policymakers at home and abroad are anxious about offshoring

How China turns members of its diaspora into spies

America is on the hunt for these non-traditional agents. But its efforts risk backfiring