Finance & economics | The risk-on rate

American stocks are at their most expensive in decades

Are they worth the cost?

Illustration of a worried looking women on a red carpet about to climb some steps and enter the New York Stock Exchange
Image: Paul Blow

Try a little, and it is never too hard to argue that the stockmarket looks risky and a crash must be coming. But in the long run such arguments are usually best ignored. Since 1900 American shares have posted an average real return of 6.4% a year. Over three decades, that would transform the purchasing power of $1,000 into $6,400. Bonds, the main alternative, do not come close. With an average historical return of 1.7% a year, they would generate a measly $1,700. Cash would do worse still.

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This article appeared in the Finance & economics section of the print edition under the headline “Worth the cost?”

From the August 12th 2023 edition

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