Finance & economics | Free exchange

The world needs a new economic motor. Could India fit the bill?

The shifting structure of the global economy will make that hard

THE WORLD could use more economic hope. The war in Ukraine has dealt a heavy blow to global growth prospects. Lockdowns and a property slowdown have sapped China, the erstwhile growth engine, of its vim. Given its size and potential, it seems reasonable to ask if India could be the world’s next economic motor. In April the IMF reckoned that Indian GDP might grow by more than 8% this year—easily the fastest pace among large countries. Such a rapid expansion, if sustained, would have a profound impact on the world. But, in large part because of the shifting structure of the global economy, things are not as simple as India taking up China’s mantle.

This article appeared in the Finance & economics section of the print edition under the headline “Engine repair”

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From the May 14th 2022 edition

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