Finance & economics | Free exchange

How oil shocks have become less shocking

Soaring crude prices stoke fears of recession, but the global economy looks resilient

THE OMENS are bad for the world economy. When oil prices surge, growth typically moves in the opposite direction. Sometimes the price shock begins with a political earthquake, like the Suez crisis of 1956. Sometimes oil producers deliberately create the shock, as with the OPEC embargo of 1973. And sometimes the culprit is soaring demand, such as when oil prices hit record highs in 2008. The common denominator in all these cases is that America and most other rich countries soon enough faced recessions.

This article appeared in the Finance & economics section of the print edition under the headline “Shock absorbers”

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