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The World Ahead | The Americas in 2025

Will the “iron fist” model spread in Latin America?

Two elections in 2025 could show growing support for tougher security policies

Prisoners at Ecuador's largest prison, the Litoral Penitentiary, sit outside their cell block.
Photograph: Getty Images

By Ana Lankes, Brazil correspondent, The Economist

Enthusiasm for a ruthless approach to crime is spreading. That is in part thanks to Nayib Bukele, the president of El Salvador, who in 2022 declared a state of emergency and has thrown 80,000 people, or 2% of the country, in jail. Human-rights groups say torture and death in prison are common. Salvadoreans seem not to mind: homicides have plummeted and Mr Bukele was re-elected by a landslide in 2024.

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This article appeared in the The Americas section of the print edition of The World Ahead 2025 under the headline “Crime and hard punishment”

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