This is the year Japan will really start to feel its age
Bold reforms and greater honesty are needed
By Noah Sneider, East Asia bureau chief, The Economist
The notion of a greying Japan is nothing new. But 2025 is when the country will really start to feel its age. Japan’s baby-boomers, some 7m-8m people known as the dankai, born between 1947 and 1949, will all be 75 or older. The total number of over-75s will reach nearly 22m, up from 17m a decade ago. The growth in ever-creakier old folks will ripple through Japan’s social systems, pushing up health and pension costs while the tax base shrinks. The government projected in 2018 that overall social-security costs, including pension payments, will increase by nearly 60% between 2025 and 2040. Policymakers refer to this as the “2025 problem”.
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This article appeared in the Asia section of the print edition of The World Ahead 2025 under the headline “Japan’s 2025 problem”
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