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Poland’s presidential election will be watched all over Europe

It could end the current uneasy cohabitation with a hard-right president

Poland's President Andrzej Duda looks out of the Presidential Palace in Warsaw, Poland
Photograph: Getty Images

By Vendeline von Bredow, Senior Germany correspondent, The Economist

Poland will hold a presidential election in 2025, probably in May, that is likely to decide the future of the populist-nationalist Law and Justice party (PiS). Either PiS will be “on a highway to return to power—or it will be the end of PiS as we know it”, says Andrzej Bobinski of Polityka Insight, a think-tank in Warsaw. The fate of the party founded in 2001 by Jaroslaw and Lech Kaczynski, identical twin brothers who conquered conservative Poland, will be a bellwether for other countries in Europe where hard-right parties have recently gained increasing power and prominence.

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This article appeared in the Europe section of the print edition of The World Ahead 2025 under the headline “Poles apart”

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