Justin Trudeau is unlikely to win the Canadian election

By Robert Russo, Canada correspondent, The Economist

Justin Trudeau has begun what is almost certainly his final election campaign. The Canadian prime minister is defiantly seeking a fourth consecutive mandate despite a year of relentlessly sliding support. Such is the antipathy towards Mr Trudeau and his Liberal Party that three-quarters of Canadian voters disapprove of them, according to polls during 2024. An easing of interest rates, a steady drop in inflation to just over 2% and a breather in the dizzying ascent of house prices have done little to arrest the decline in Mr Trudeau’s support.