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The World Ahead | Middle East in 2025

Arab countries anticipate another youth bulge

If there are not enough jobs, the consequences could be serious

Collage of President Sisi, a young Saudi man and a hammer and trowel
Illustration: Celina Pereira

By Ann Hanna, Newsdesk editor, The Economist

Egypt’s strongman, Abdel-Fattah al-Sisi, said in 2021 that Egyptians should have “less than one” child per family. He has long been concerned about population growth, a topic that will become ever more pressing from 2025. His country—and several others in the region—are about to enter a second youth bulge. In Egypt the proportion of the population aged 15-24 peaked at just above 20% in 2010, before falling to around 17% in 2020. But the figure is starting to rise again, and will approach 20% by the middle of the 2030s, according to the UN.

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This article appeared in the Middle East & Africa section of the print edition of The World Ahead 2025 under the headline “The young and the restless”

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